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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Toshiaki Matsuo, Takuma Yoshida
Nuclear Technology | Volume 136 | Number 3 | December 2001 | Pages 354-366
Technical Paper | Radioactive Waste Management and Disposal | doi.org/10.13182/NT01-A3251
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
This study, which develops a safety assessment code for radioactive waste disposal, consists of two-dimensional analyses of underground water infiltrated flow and near-field radionuclide migration, one-dimensional analyses of far-field migration, and the dose equivalent. The study takes into account the influence of a finite absorption amount of radionuclides in an engineered barrier system (EBS).The safety assessment code is applied to 14C migration calculations. The near-field cylindrical model consists of an equally mixed region of wasteforms and backfill, bentonite, and rock. Carbon-14 coexists with 3.1 × 106 times as much 12C in the wasteforms. The distribution coefficient, maximum absorption amount, and solubility of CO32- against the equally mixed region are assumed to be 2.0 m3/kg, 3.06 mol/kg, and 544 mol/m3, respectively. Then, the release rate from the wasteforms (10-4 to 10-6/yr) and underground water detachment period from the wasteforms are examined to lower the dose equivalent by the intake of well water.The 14C concentration on the EBS boundary is 20 times as large in the case of EBS finite absorption as in the case of infinite absorption. So, the EBS finite absorption leads to absorption saturation and accelerated release of the radionuclides. The influence of the absorption saturation could not be prevented by lowering the release rate. A 3 × 104/yr detachment lowered the dose equivalent to 1/40 of the original case.