ANS is committed to advancing, fostering, and promoting the development and application of nuclear sciences and technologies to benefit society.
Explore the many uses for nuclear science and its impact on energy, the environment, healthcare, food, and more.
Division Spotlight
Materials Science & Technology
The objectives of MSTD are: promote the advancement of materials science in Nuclear Science Technology; support the multidisciplines which constitute it; encourage research by providing a forum for the presentation, exchange, and documentation of relevant information; promote the interaction and communication among its members; and recognize and reward its members for significant contributions to the field of materials science in nuclear technology.
Meeting Spotlight
2024 ANS Annual Conference
June 16–19, 2024
Las Vegas, NV|Mandalay Bay Resort and Casino
Standards Program
The Standards Committee is responsible for the development and maintenance of voluntary consensus standards that address the design, analysis, and operation of components, systems, and facilities related to the application of nuclear science and technology. Find out What’s New, check out the Standards Store, or Get Involved today!
Latest Magazine Issues
Apr 2024
Jan 2024
Latest Journal Issues
Nuclear Science and Engineering
June 2024
Nuclear Technology
May 2024
Fusion Science and Technology
Latest News
Commercial nuclear innovation "new space" age
In early 2006, a start-up company launched a small rocket from a tiny island in the Pacific. It exploded, showering the island with debris. A year later, a second launch attempt sent a rocket to space but failed to make orbit, burning up in the atmosphere. Another year brought a third attempt—and a third failure. The following month, in September 2008, the company used the last of its funds to launch a fourth rocket. It reached orbit, making history as the first privately funded liquid-fueled rocket to do so.
Nathan W. Porter, Maria N. Avramova, Vincent A. Mousseau
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 190 | Number 3 | June 2018 | Pages 271-286
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.1080/00295639.2018.1435135
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
This work describes the results of a quantitative uncertainty analysis of the thermal-hydraulic subchannel code for nuclear engineering applications, Coolant Boiling in Rod Arrays-Three Field (COBRA-TF). CTF is used, which is a version of COBRA-TF developed in cooperation between the Consortium for Advanced Simulation of Light Water Reactors and North Carolina State University. Four steady-state cases from Phase II Exercise 3 of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development/Nuclear Energy Agency Light Water Reactor Uncertainty Analysis in Modeling (UAM) Benchmark are analyzed using the statistical analysis tool, Design Analysis Kit for Optimization and Terascale Applications (Dakota). The input parameters include boundary condition, geometry, and modeling uncertainties, which are selected using a sensitivity study and then defined based on expert judgment. A forward uncertainty quantification method with Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) is used, where the sample size is based on available computational resources.
The means and standard deviations of thermal-hydraulic quantities of interest are reported, as well as the Spearman rank correlation coefficients between the inputs and outputs. The means and standard deviations are accompanied by their respective standard errors, and the correlation coefficients are tested for statistical significance. The quantities of interest include void fractions, temperatures, and pressure drops. The predicted uncertainty in all parameters remains relatively low for all quantities of interest. The dominant sources of uncertainty are identified. For cases based on experiments, two different validation metrics are used to quantify the difference between measured and predicted void fractions.
The results compare well with past studies, but with a number of improvements: the use of an updated CTF input deck using the current UAM specification and the most recent version of CTF, the use of an LHS method, an analysis of standard errors for the statistical results, and a quantitative comparison to experimental data.
Though the statistical uncertainty analysis framework presented herein is applied to thermal-hydraulic analyses, it is generally applicable to any simulation tool. Given a specified amount of computational resources, it can be used to quantify statistical significance through the use of fundamental statistical analyses. This is in contrast with the prevailing methods in nuclear engineering, which provide a sample size necessary to achieve a specified level of statistical certainty.