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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
J. E. M. Saxby, Anil K. Prinja, M. D. Eaton
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 189 | Number 1 | January 2018 | Pages 1-25
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.1080/00295639.2017.1367569
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
The time and phase-space dependent backward master equation is used to develop and numerically solve a coupled system of transport equations for the probability distribution of the neutron number in subregions of a spherically symmetric, reflected, subcritical plutonium sphere. The number distributions are computed for a single initial neutron injected into the assembly and localized in phase space as well as in the presence of a uniformly distributed spontaneous fission source in the fissile region. A standard multigroup, discrete ordinates scheme with second-order spatial and fully implicit time discretization proved sufficiently accurate for this application. The results presented show complex behaviors arising from the material interface and spectral effects due to neutron slowing down that cannot be encapsulated in a lumped model. Additionally, low-order spatial moments were computed both by averaging the number distributions of finite order and directly solving the transport equations for the moments using the same numerical scheme. While generally excellent agreement is observed between the two approaches, the truncation order has a noticeable effect on the accuracy of the higher moments that are computed using the number distributions.