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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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Latest News
IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Richard Vasques, Kai Krycki, Rachel N. Slaybaugh
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 185 | Number 1 | January 2017 | Pages 78-106
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE16-35
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
We investigate the accuracy of the recently proposed nonclassical transport equation. This equation contains an extra independent variable compared to the classical transport equation (the path length s), and models particle transport in homogenized random media in which the distance to collision of a particle is not exponentially distributed. To solve the nonclassical equation, one needs to know the s-dependent ensemble-averaged total cross section Σt(μ, s) or its corresponding path-length distribution function p(μ, s). We consider a one-dimensional (1-D) spatially periodic system consisting of alternating solid and void layers, randomly placed along the x-axis. We obtain an analytical expression for p(μ, s) and use this result to compute the corresponding Σt(μ, s). Then, we proceed to solve numerically the nonclassical equation for different test problems in rod geometry; that is, particles can move only in the directions μ = ±1. To assess the accuracy of these solutions, we produce benchmark results obtained by (i) generating a large number of physical realizations of the system, (ii) numerically solving the transport equation in each realization, and (iii) ensemble-averaging the solutions over all physical realizations. We show that the numerical results validate the nonclassical model; the solutions obtained with the nonclassical equation accurately estimate the ensemble-averaged scalar flux in this 1-D random periodic system, greatly outperforming the widely used atomic mix model in most problems.
