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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
José M. Aragonés, Carol Ahnert, and Nuria García-Herranz
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 157 | Number 1 | September 2007 | Pages 1-15
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE07-A2709
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
In this work we develop and demonstrate the analytic coarse-mesh finite difference (ACMFD) method for multigroup - with any number of groups - and multidimensional diffusion calculations of eigenvalue and external source problems. The first step in this method is to reduce the coupled system of the G multigroup diffusion equations, inside any homogenized region (or node) of any size, to the G independent modal equations in the real or complex eigenspace of the G × G multigroup matrix. The mathematical and numerical analysis of this step is discussed for several reactor media and number of groups.As a second step, we discuss the analytical solutions in the general (complex) modal eigenspace for one-dimensional plane geometry, deriving the generalized Chao's relation among the surface fluxes and the net currents, at a given interface, and the node-average fluxes, essential in the ACMFD method. We also introduce here the treatment of heterogeneous nodes, through modal interface flux discontinuity factors, and show the analytical and numerical application to core-reflector problems, for a single infinite reflector and for reflectors with two layers of different materials.Then, we address the general multidimensional case, with rectangular X-Y-Z geometry considered, showing the equivalency of the methods of transverse integration and incomplete expansion of the multidimensional fluxes, in the real or complex modal eigenspace of the multigroup matrix. A nonlinear iteration scheme is implemented to solve the multigroup multidimensional nodal problem, which has shown a fast and robust convergence in proof-of-principle numerical applications to realistic pressurized water reactor cores, with heterogeneous fuel assemblies and reflectors.