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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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Latest News
IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Naoki Sugimura, Akio Yamamoto, Tadashi Ushio, Masaaki Mori, Masato Tabuchi, Tomohiro Endo
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 155 | Number 2 | February 2007 | Pages 276-289
Technical Paper | Mathematics and Computation, Supercomputing, Reactor Physics and Nuclear and Biological Applications | doi.org/10.13182/NSE155-276
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
A very rigorous and advanced next-generation neutronics design system, AEGIS (Anisotropic, Extended Geometry, Integrated Neutronics Solver), which is based on the deterministic method, is being developed using advanced computer science technology. The method of characteristics, which has the merit of treating heterogeneous geometry explicitly, is utilized in AEGIS as a neutron transport solver. So, the AEGIS code can explicitly model many types of fuel lattices in both commercial light water reactors (LWRs) and advanced reactors such as Generation IV reactors. The AEGIS code can also treat higher-order anisotropic scattering accurately based on spherical harmonics expansion. To compute a large-scale problem, a nonuniform ray-tracing method is implemented in AEGIS. It utilizes the Gauss-Legendre quadrature weight and the macroband method to decide position and width of ray traces to reduce spatial discretization error efficiently. The transport solution of AEGIS has been verified through various benchmark problems. It was found that the AEGIS code can explicitly treat complicated geometry and can efficiently solve a large-scale problem. These results show that flexibility in handling geometry and the very rigorous neutronics calculation models of AEGIS will contribute to predicting neutronics characteristics accurately, not only for commercial LWRs but also for advanced reactors.