ANS is committed to advancing, fostering, and promoting the development and application of nuclear sciences and technologies to benefit society.
Explore the many uses for nuclear science and its impact on energy, the environment, healthcare, food, and more.
Explore membership for yourself or for your organization.
Conference Spotlight
Nuclear Energy Conference & Expo (NECX)
September 8–11, 2025
Atlanta, GA|Atlanta Marriott Marquis
Standards Program
The Standards Committee is responsible for the development and maintenance of voluntary consensus standards that address the design, analysis, and operation of components, systems, and facilities related to the application of nuclear science and technology. Find out What’s New, check out the Standards Store, or Get Involved today!
Latest Magazine Issues
Jul 2025
Jan 2025
Latest Journal Issues
Nuclear Science and Engineering
August 2025
Nuclear Technology
Fusion Science and Technology
July 2025
Latest News
Hash Hashemian: Visionary leadership
As Dr. Hashem M. “Hash” Hashemian prepares to step into his term as President of the American Nuclear Society, he is clear that he wants to make the most of this unique moment.
A groundswell in public approval of nuclear is finding a home in growing governmental support that is backed by a tailwind of technological innovation. “Now is a good time to be in nuclear,” Hashemian said, as he explained the criticality of this moment and what he hoped to accomplish as president.
Michael Khazen, Arie Dubi
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 141 | Number 3 | July 2002 | Pages 272-287
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE02-A2282
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
Estimation of the probabilities of rare events with significant consequences, e.g., disasters, is one of the most difficult problems in Monte Carlo applications to systems engineering and reliability. The Bernoulli-type estimator used in analog Monte Carlo is characterized by extremely high variance when applied to the estimation of rare events. Variance reduction methods are, therefore, of importance in this field.The present work suggests a parametric nonanalog probability measure based on the superposition of transition biasing and forced events biasing. The cluster-event model is developed providing an effective and reliable approximation for the second moment and the benefit along with a methodology of selecting near-optimal biasing parameters. Numerical examples show a considerable benefit when the method is applied to problems of particular difficulty for the analog Monte Carlo method.The suggested model is applicable for reliability assessment of stochastic networks of complicated topology and high redundancy with component-level repair (i.e., repair applied to an individual failed component while the system is operational).