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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
H. Yamada, K. Kawahata, T. Mutoh, N. Ohyabu, Y. Takeiri, S. Imagawa, K. Ida, T. Mito, Y. Nagayama, T. Shimozuma, K. Y. Watanabe, M. Kobayashi, R. Kumazawa, S. Masuzaki, T. Morisaki, J. Miyazawa, K. Nagaoka, Y. Narushima, S. Sakakibara, R. Sakamoto, K. Toi, M. Yokoyama, O. Kaneko, A. Komori, O. Motojima, LHD Experiment Group
Fusion Science and Technology | Volume 58 | Number 1 | July-August 2010 | Pages 12-28
Chapter 2. LHD Progress | Special Issue on Large Helical Device (LHD) | doi.org/10.13182/FST10-A10789
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
Progress in the integrated development of the helical system in the Large Helical Device (LHD) is described in this paper. Understanding of net current-free plasmas has been deepened in the extended operational regime. Geometrical optimization based on neoclassical theory has revealed that good confinement, equivalent to the tokamak H-mode, can be obtained in the collisionless regime. This approach has also demonstrated that anomalous transport is reduced simultaneously, which poses a working hypothesis that optimization of neoclassical transport suppresses turbulent anomalous transport as well. With regard to the magnetohydrodynamic instability, LHD has discovered that interchange instability is benign in the magnetic hill. These two findings have produced a synergistic effect on the enhancement of confinement and plasma . Remarkable proof of the advantage of helical systems can be seen in very high density operation, which is not accessible in tokamaks. Abundant integrated knowledge about three-dimensional physics has been extracted from these achievements. This progress is important in the assessment of the potential of a helical fusion reactor and makes a significant complementary contribution to tokamaks as well.