ANS is committed to advancing, fostering, and promoting the development and application of nuclear sciences and technologies to benefit society.
Explore the many uses for nuclear science and its impact on energy, the environment, healthcare, food, and more.
Explore membership for yourself or for your organization.
Conference Spotlight
2026 ANS Annual Conference
May 31–June 3, 2026
Denver, CO|Sheraton Denver
Latest Magazine Issues
Mar 2026
Jul 2025
Latest Journal Issues
Nuclear Science and Engineering
March 2026
Nuclear Technology
February 2026
Fusion Science and Technology
April 2026
Latest News
Pacific Fusion pulsed-power facility to host external users
Concept art of Pacific Fusion’s demonstration system. (Image: Pacific Fusion)
Pacific Fusion is preparing to start construction on a pulsed-power inertial fusion facility in New Mexico, and today the company announced it is seeking expressions of interest from researchers in industry, academia, and government who may want to run experiments at the facility.
Mattia Zanotelli, J. Wesley Hines, Jamie B. Coble
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 199 | Number 1 | January 2025 | Pages 100-114
Research Article | doi.org/10.1080/00295639.2024.2303165
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
In the nuclear industry, high system reliability requirements are essential since in-service failure can result in undesirable consequences in terms of costs or safety. However, the current approach to maintaining systems and components is costly and known to involve overly conservative periodic maintenance activities. It is, therefore, appropriate to develop monitoring, detection, and predictive tools to enable operators to create optimal maintenance strategies. These strategies can vary from the substitution of an item to its repair, intending to avoid unexpected consequences. The repair can restore the item’s functionality to an as-good-as-new condition (perfect repair) or sometimes can keep some accumulated degradation and change the item’s degradation rate (imperfect or partial repair). Current techniques and models that can perform prognostics with extraordinary accuracy are often designed on the assumption that following maintenance, the item is restored to an as-good-as-new condition. When these models are used to predict items that follow imperfect repairs, the predictions are likely to be inaccurate. Therefore, the present work focuses on the condition-based prognostics of items, considering and handling the criticalities that arise after the items undergo different kinds of repairs. The proposed solution involves a data-driven framework that employs Left-Right Gaussian Hidden Markov Models (LR-GHMMs). These models can intrinsically manage accumulated degradation. The idea is to train different LR-GHMMs, each specific to a degradation path, and then combine them to cover possible intermediate paths. The effectiveness of the approach is tested in two case studies. In the first one, we consider simple artificial sequences that are useful to explain the method’s capabilities. In the second case study, we consider semi-simulated nuclear data describing the degradation transients of a condenser that undergoes fouling. The framework is trained with data collected from items that start without accumulated degradation. The test data represent either new items or items that undergo imperfect repairs. The results demonstrate an attractive elasticity of the framework in adapting to nonstandard degradation behaviors. In addition, the applications provide interpretable and highly accurate outputs.