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2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Jean Tommasi, Maxence Maillot, Gérald Rimpault
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 184 | Number 2 | October 2016 | Pages 174-189
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE16-4
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
In neutron chain systems with material symmetries, various k-eigenvalues of the neutron balance equation beyond the dominant one may be degenerate. Eigenfunctions can be partitioned into several classes according to their invariance properties with respect to the symmetry operations (mirror symmetries and rotations) keeping the material distribution in the system unchanged. Their calculation can be limited to a fraction of the system (sector) provided that innovative boundary conditions matching the symmetry classes are used, and whole-system eigenfunctions can then be unfolded from the solutions obtained over the sector. With power iteration as the method for searching k-eigenvalues, this use of the material symmetries to split the global problem into a variety of smaller-sized problems has several computational advantages: lower computation times and memory requirements, increased dominance ratios, lowered possible degeneracies in each subproblem, and possible parallel (separated) treatment of the subproblems. The implementation is discussed in a companion paper using diffusion and transport theories.