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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Zhi’ao Huang, Huifang Miao, Huai-En Hsieh, Yifen Chen, Ning Li (Xiamen Univ), Chao Guo (China General Nuclear Power Research Inst Co. Ltd.)
Proceedings | Advances in Thermal Hydraulics 2018 | Orlando, FL, November 11-15, 2018 | Pages 379-387
Recently, with the development and application of full-scope level 2 probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) method around the world, severe accident phenomena during shutdown and low power conditions have aroused extensive attention in nuclear industry. And the shutdown severe accident management guideline is claimed to be developed, and the verification of the entry condition is the first consideration in this procedure. Diverse parameters have been monitored to identify their applicability as the alternative shutdown severe accident management guideline (SSAMG) entry conditions based on SBO scenarios in this paper, also the maximum core temperature 1350 K is chosen as the indicator of core damage instead of traditional peak cladding temperature 1024 ? which is thought to be much conservative. The results explain the complex severe accident progression during mid-loop operation in different scenarios and several parameters (i.e. mole fraction of H2 in containment and the mass of noble gas in containment. et.al) are identified to be useful as alternative SSAMG entry conditions in certain scenario. What’s more, the hot leg (in the loop with pressurizer) pipe surface temperature is identified to be the most appropriate parameter to be used as alternative SSAMG when the traditional entry conditions (core exit temperature and the radioactivity in containment) are not available, since it has strong relationship with the maximum core temperature.