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Swiss nuclear power and the case for long-term operation
Designed for 40 years but built to last far longer, Switzerland’s nuclear power plants have all entered long-term operation. Yet age alone says little about safety or performance. Through continuous upgrades, strict regulatory oversight, and extensive aging management, the country’s reactors are being prepared for decades of continued operation, in line with international practice.
Pablo Osés, Jordi Freixa, Rafael Mendizábal, Miguel Sánchez-Perea
Nuclear Technology | Volume 211 | Number 10 | October 2025 | Pages 2308-2325
Research Article | doi.org/10.1080/00295450.2024.2411805
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
In the framework of deterministic safety analysis, best estimate plus uncertainty methodologies can provide a more informative detailed analysis of transients than conservative approaches. However, one important step in the application of such methodologies is derivation of uncertainty of the physical models. Probability density functions of the physical model parameters are obtained by applying inverse uncertainty quantification (IUQ) methods to experimental data. The present work deals with evaluation of the experimental database and assessment of the simulation model, which are required steps prior to the application of IUQ methods. The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission system code RELAP5 has been applied for simulation of three experimental databases on choked/critical flow: Sozzi-Sutherland, Super MobyDick, and Marviken Critical Flow Tests. First, the adequacy of the experimental data to the specific target domain is carried out, to then proceed to calibration of the input model parameters by combining the use of Gaussian Process metamodels and optimization schemes. The assessment of the simulation models is performed by evaluating independently accuracy, precision, and consistency through four statistical indicators, including a novel indicator to evaluate the consistency of the results. The final results indicate that the model is capable of reproducing the selected experimental database and overall average accuracy, precision, and consistency below the 10% threshold and can be used for application of IUQ methods.