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NN Asks: What hurdles stand in the way of nuclear power’s global expansion?
Jake Jurewicz
Nuclear technology is mature. It provides firm power at scale with minimal externalities and has done so for decades. The core problem isn’t about the technology—it is how the plants are built. Nuclear construction has a well-documented history of cost and schedule overruns. Previous nuclear plants often spent more than twice what was first budgeted, making nuclear among the power technologies with the largest average cost overruns worldwide.
Recent projects illustrate how severe the problem can be. In South Carolina, the V.C. Summer nuclear expansion saw projected costs rise from roughly $10 billion to more than $25 billion before the project was abandoned in 2017, by which time more than $9 billion had already been spent and customers were stuck paying for a site they have yet to benefit from.
Andrew Young, Michael Devereux, Blair Brown, Bruce Stephen, Graeme West, Stephen McArthur
Nuclear Technology | Volume 210 | Number 12 | December 2024 | Pages 2362-2372
Research Article | doi.org/10.1080/00295450.2024.2342187
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
To function effectively, nuclear power plants rely on the effective filtration of air, water, and process fluids, examples of which include inlet sea water, reactor coolant, plant drinking water, and moderator purification. Filtration assets degrade over time, which impairs their filtering performance and reduces the flow rate. Being able to determine the remaining useful life (RUL) of a filter could result in benefits, particularly when moving from a time-based to a condition-based maintenance strategy that would optimize the filter replacement procedure and reduce early replacement of filters that are still fit for purpose. For many filter applications, a time-based strategy is sufficient. For strategically important assets, such as fueling machines, there are benefits to be gained from the development of predictive maintenance strategies.
In this paper, we propose a predictive condition-based strategy using differential pressure data as a proxy for filter health. The key objective in this work was the creation of a model that could predict a filter asset RUL. The differential pressure for 7 to 14 days is predicted by a heuristic-based regression model of the history of each filter. This approach has been demonstrated using a civil nuclear generation application but could be applied to wider applications. While this model is still undergoing on-site evaluation, it has been estimated that there will be an operationally significant lifetime cost reduction.