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NN Asks: What hurdles stand in the way of nuclear power’s global expansion?
Jake Jurewicz
Nuclear technology is mature. It provides firm power at scale with minimal externalities and has done so for decades. The core problem isn’t about the technology—it is how the plants are built. Nuclear construction has a well-documented history of cost and schedule overruns. Previous nuclear plants often spent more than twice what was first budgeted, making nuclear among the power technologies with the largest average cost overruns worldwide.
Recent projects illustrate how severe the problem can be. In South Carolina, the V.C. Summer nuclear expansion saw projected costs rise from roughly $10 billion to more than $25 billion before the project was abandoned in 2017, by which time more than $9 billion had already been spent and customers were stuck paying for a site they have yet to benefit from.
Amitanshu Mishra, Paban Kumar Guchhait, Samiran Sengupta
Nuclear Technology | Volume 210 | Number 10 | October 2024 | Pages 1932-1951
Research Article | doi.org/10.1080/00295450.2024.2304915
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
Simulation of a station blackout (SBO) scenario was carried out for an open pool–type nuclear research reactor. The SBO transient was analyzed using the best estimate (BE) thermal-hydraulic code RELAP5/MOD3.2 to evaluate the performance of safety systems and inherent thermal inertia provided by the reactor pool in ensuring adequate core cooling during a prolonged SBO condition lasting up to 7 days. This encompasses assessment of cooling provided by battery-operated auxiliary pumps in the initial phase followed by setup of the natural convection cooling mode for the extended period. Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty (BEPU) methodology was applied for assessment of safety margins. This involved estimation of required simulations using the Wilks first-order formulation to achieve results within the tolerance limit of 95/95. Identification of relevant uncertainties and their propagation was carried out; subsequently, a case matrix for 59 simulation runs was generated using the Latin hypercube sampling method. The upper/lower bounds of uncertainty results were analyzed and compared with the BE code results. Later, sensitivity analysis was carried out using sensitivity coefficients generated using the Pearson and Spearman coefficient. The results show that the values of the crucial thermal-hydraulic parameters obtained with the tolerance limit of 95/95 met the acceptance criteria, with adequate safety margins.