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NN Asks: What hurdles stand in the way of nuclear power’s global expansion?
Jake Jurewicz
Nuclear technology is mature. It provides firm power at scale with minimal externalities and has done so for decades. The core problem isn’t about the technology—it is how the plants are built. Nuclear construction has a well-documented history of cost and schedule overruns. Previous nuclear plants often spent more than twice what was first budgeted, making nuclear among the power technologies with the largest average cost overruns worldwide.
Recent projects illustrate how severe the problem can be. In South Carolina, the V.C. Summer nuclear expansion saw projected costs rise from roughly $10 billion to more than $25 billion before the project was abandoned in 2017, by which time more than $9 billion had already been spent and customers were stuck paying for a site they have yet to benefit from.
Javiera Cervini-Silva
Nuclear Technology | Volume 210 | Number 8 | August 2024 | Pages 1487-1495
Note | doi.org/10.1080/00295450.2023.2295152
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
Bentonites are natural reservoirs of various elements and are of interest because they are sources of thorium and uranium, which are transition elements that provide nuclear energy. The objective of this work was to study the plausible association(s) of these elements with other transition elements of interest. The contents of 18 transition elements (cerium, cobalt, chromium, copper, iron, hafnium, lanthanum, manganese, molybdenum, neodymium niobium, nickel, tantalum, thorium, uranium, vanadium, yttrium, zinc, and zirconium) in 38 bentonites determined experimentally by X-ray fluorescence spectroscopy (XRF) were analyzed.
The contents of the elements were plotted in (x,y) graphs and then fitted to polynomial functions (orders 1 through 6). According to the coefficient of determination (r2: 0.5 ≤ r2 strong, 0.3 ≤ r2 ≤ 0.5 medium, and r2 ≤ 0.3 weak), the contents of thorium, uranium, niobium, and nickel related strongly, thus the presence of niobium and nickel served to predict the presence of detectable concentrations of thorium and uranium. The equations showing higher r2 values were
1. {Th} = 1e-6{Nb}5 − 3e-4{Nb}4 + 1.9e-2{Nb}3 − 5.4e-1{Nb}2 + 7.3{Nb} − 6.3, r2 = 0.53.
2. {Th} = −3e-8{Nb}6 + 9e-6{Nb}5 − 1e-3{Nb}4 + 4.7e-2{Nb}3 − 1.1{Nb}2 + 11.5{Nb} − 16, r2 = 0.54.
3. {Th} = 5e-6{Ni}4 − 1.5e-3{Ni}3 − 1.5e-1{Ni}2 − 5.8{Ni} + 9e+1, r2 = 0.49.
4. {Th} = −7e-8{Ni}5 + 3e-5{Ni}4 − 5.1e-3{Ni}3 + 3.4e-1{Ni}2 − 9.5{Nb} + 1e+2, r2 = 0.56.
5. {Th} = 2e-9{Ni}6 − 8e-7{Ni}5 + 2e-4{Ni}4 − 1.5e-2{Ni}3 − 7e-1{Ni}2 − 1e+1{Ni} + 1e+1, r2 = 0.60.
6. {Th} = −1e-4{U}5 + 1.3e-2{U}4 − 4.3e-1{U}3 + 5.7e-1{U}2 − 2e+1{U} + 5e+1, r2 = 0.54.
7. {Th} = 6e-6{U}6 − 9e-4{U}5 + 4.5e-2{U}4 − 1.1{U}3 + 1e+1{U}2 − 5e+1{U} + 1e+2, r2 = 0.64.
8. {U} = 8e-6{Nb}4 − 1.2e-3{Nb}3 + 4.8e-2{Nb}2 − 4.3e-1{Nb} + 6.8, r2 = 0.48.
9. {U} = 2e-7{Nb}5 − 4e-5{Nb}4 + 2.8e-3{Nb}3 − 7.6e-2{Nb}2 + 1.1{Nb} + 1.9, r2 = 0.5.
10. {U} = 1e-8{Nb}6 − 3e-6{Nb}5 + 2e-4{Nb}4 − 8e-3{Nb}3 + 1.3e-1{Nb}2 − 5.4e-1{Nb} + 5.4, r2 = 0.51.
11. {U} = 1.8e-1{Th} + 2.6, r2 = 0.49; {U} = 1.7e-3{Th}2 − 2.9e-2{Th} + 6.3, r2 = 0.60.
12. {U} = 2e-5{Th}3 − 1.7e-3{Th}2 + 1.4e-1{Th} + 4.5, r2 = 0.58; {U} = −5e-7{Th}4 + 2e-4{Th}3 − 1.5e-2{Th}2 + 5.5e-1{Th} + 1.5, r2 = 0.6.
13. {U} = −7e-9{Th}5 + 2e-6{Th}4 − 1e-4{Th}3 − 3e-4{Th}2 + 2.7e-1{Th} + 2.9, r2 = 0.6.
14. {U} = 2e-9{Th}6 − 8e-7{Th}5 + 1e-4{Th}4 − 8.1e-3{Th}3 − 2.4e-1{Th}2 + 15, r2 = 0.65.
This study provided a joint experimental and theoretical approach to optimize the recovery of thorium and uranium and to save invaluable onsite and off-site natural resources and work time. The findings might expand on other studies reporting the quantification of transition metals on bentonite matrices. For instance, the concentrations of nickel reported in studies using bench techniques could serve as the basis to calculate the contents of thorium.
