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NN Asks: What hurdles stand in the way of nuclear power’s global expansion?
Jake Jurewicz
Nuclear technology is mature. It provides firm power at scale with minimal externalities and has done so for decades. The core problem isn’t about the technology—it is how the plants are built. Nuclear construction has a well-documented history of cost and schedule overruns. Previous nuclear plants often spent more than twice what was first budgeted, making nuclear among the power technologies with the largest average cost overruns worldwide.
Recent projects illustrate how severe the problem can be. In South Carolina, the V.C. Summer nuclear expansion saw projected costs rise from roughly $10 billion to more than $25 billion before the project was abandoned in 2017, by which time more than $9 billion had already been spent and customers were stuck paying for a site they have yet to benefit from.
Pedro Mena, R. A. Borrelli, Leslie Kerby
Nuclear Technology | Volume 210 | Number 1 | January 2024 | Pages 112-125
Research Article | doi.org/10.1080/00295450.2023.2214257
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
Concerns over cybersecurity in critical systems have grown significantly over the last decade. The increase in the successful attacks against infrastructure, major corporations, and governments has led to major investment in mitigating and preventing cyberattacks. At the same time, there has been a significant interest in utilizing data in operations, with machine learning applications becoming a popular area of study. One industry exploring machine learning applications is the nuclear industry. Because of the sensitive nature of nuclear systems, the question if attacks on nuclear data can be detected has begun to take urgency. This study explores the use of autoencoders to detect anomalies in nuclear data that could be potentially used to evaluate the operating status of a nuclear system. Data from a generic pressurized water reactor simulator used in a previous study to diagnose transients was used to train an autoencoder model using Keras. A separate portion of these data was altered by adding statistical noise for validation. Four different levels of noise were used in this experiment. Once the autoencoder was trained, a threshold was calculated using the average mean square error of the predictions and the standard deviation from that loss. Points above the threshold were classified as anomalies while points below were considered unaltered. For the initial level of noise, the model was able to score near perfect in recall, capturing all but 13 of the 13 884 altered points. However, in terms of precision, the model misclassified a number of unaltered points as altered, resulting in a score of 73.76%. To test the sensitivity of the model, the amount of noise was reduced three times, and as expected, the performance of the model worsened with each reduction. Still, the high performance in identifying altered points for higher levels of noise is an encouraging first step in developing anomaly detection systems for nuclear data.