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Atlanta, GA|Atlanta Marriott Marquis
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From operator to entrepreneur: David Garcia applies outage management lessons
David Garcia
If ComEd’s Zion plant in northern Illinois hadn’t closed in 1998, David Garcia might still be there, where he got his start in nuclear power as an operator at age 24.
But in his ninth year working there, Zion closed, and Garcia moved on to a series of new roles—including at Wisconsin’s Point Beach plant, the corporate offices of Minnesota’s Xcel Energy, and on the supplier side at PaR Nuclear—into an on-the-job education that he augmented with degrees in business and divinity that he sought later in life.
Garcia started his own company—Waymaker Resource Group—in 2014. Recently, Waymaker has been supporting Holtec’s restart project at the Palisades plant with staffing and analysis. Palisades sits almost exactly due east of the fully decommissioned Zion site on the other side of Lake Michigan and is poised to operate again after what amounts to an extended outage of more than three years. Holtec also plans to build more reactors at the same site.
For Garcia, the takeaway is clear: “This industry is not going away. Nuclear power and the adjacent industries that support nuclear power—and clean energy, period—are going to be needed for decades upon decades.”
In July, Garcia talked with Nuclear News staff writer Susan Gallier about his career and what he has learned about running successful outages and other projects.
Bertrand Iooss, Amandine Marrel
Nuclear Technology | Volume 205 | Number 12 | December 2019 | Pages 1588-1606
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.1080/00295450.2019.1573617
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
In the framework of the estimation of safety margins in nuclear accident analysis, a quantitative assessment of the uncertainties tainting the results of computer simulations is essential. Accurate uncertainty propagation (estimation of high probabilities or quantiles) and quantitative sensitivity analysis may call for several thousand code simulations. Complex computer codes, as the ones used in thermal-hydraulic accident scenario simulations, are often too CPU-time expensive to be directly used to perform these studies. A solution consists in replacing the computer model by a CPU-inexpensive mathematical function, called a metamodel, built from a reduced number of code simulations. However, in case of high-dimensional experiments (with typically several tens of inputs), the metamodel building process remains difficult. To face this limitation, we propose a methodology which combines several advanced statistical tools: initial space-filling design, screening to identify the noninfluential inputs, and Gaussian process (Gp) metamodel building with the group of influential inputs as explanatory variables. The residual effect of the group of noninfluential inputs is captured by another Gp metamodel. Then, the resulting joint Gp metamodel is used to accurately estimate Sobol’ sensitivity indices and high quantiles (here 95% quantile). The efficiency of the methodology to deal with a large number of inputs and reduce the calculation budget is illustrated on a thermal-hydraulic calculation case simulating with the CATHARE2 code a loss-of-coolant accident scenario in a pressurized water reactor. A predictive Gp metamodel is built with only a few hundred code simulations which allows the calculation of the Sobol’ sensitivity indices. This Gp also provides a more accurate estimation of the 95% quantile and associated confidence interval than the empirical approach, at equal calculation budget. Moreover, on this test case, the joint Gp approach outperforms the simple Gp.