ANS is committed to advancing, fostering, and promoting the development and application of nuclear sciences and technologies to benefit society.
Explore the many uses for nuclear science and its impact on energy, the environment, healthcare, food, and more.
Explore membership for yourself or for your organization.
Conference Spotlight
2026 ANS Annual Conference
May 31–June 3, 2026
Denver, CO|Sheraton Denver
Latest Magazine Issues
Jan 2026
Jul 2025
Latest Journal Issues
Nuclear Science and Engineering
February 2026
Nuclear Technology
January 2026
Fusion Science and Technology
November 2025
Latest News
ORNL to partner with Type One, UTK on fusion facility
Yesterday, Oak Ridge National Laboratory announced that it is in the process of partnering with Type One Energy and the University of Tennessee–Knoxville. That partnership will have one primary goal: to establish a high-heat flux facility (HHF) at the Tennessee Valley Authority’s Bull Run Energy Complex in Clinton, Tenn.
Binh T. Pham, Grant L. Hawkes, Jeffrey J. Einerson
Nuclear Technology | Volume 196 | Number 2 | November 2016 | Pages 396-407
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NT16-31
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
This paper presents the quantification of uncertainty of the calculated temperature data for the Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) fuel irradiation experiments conducted in the Advanced Test Reactor at Idaho National Laboratory in support of the Advanced Reactor Technologies Fuel Development and Qualification Program. The predicted temperatures with associated uncertainty for AGR tests using the ABAQUS finite element heat transfer code are used to validate the fission product transport and fuel performance simulation models. To quantify the uncertainty of calculated temperatures, this study identifies and analyzes model parameters of potential importance to the predicted fuel temperatures. The selection of input parameters for uncertainty quantification is based on the ranking of their influence on the variation of temperature predictions. Thus, selected input parameters include those with high sensitivity and those with large uncertainty. The propagation of model parameter uncertainty and sensitivity is then used to quantify the overall uncertainty of the calculated temperatures. The sensitivity analysis performed in this work went beyond the traditional local sensitivity. Using an experimental design, an analysis of pairwise interactions of model parameters was performed to establish the sufficiency of the first-order (linear) expansion terms in constructing the response surface. To achieve completeness, the uncertainty propagation made use of pairwise noise correlations of model parameters. The AGR-2 overall fuel temperature uncertainties reported here are less than 5% (or 60°C).