A new daily as-run thermal analysis was performed at the Idaho National Laboratory for the advanced gas cooled reactor (AGR) test experiment number two (AGR-2) in the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR). This thermal analysis incorporates gas gaps changing with time during the irradiation experiment due to graphite shrinkage resulting from neutron damage. The purpose of this analysis was to calculate the daily average temperatures of each TRISO (tristructural isotropic)–particle fuel compact. A steady-state thermal analysis was performed daily for each capsule with the commercial finite element heat transfer code ABAQUS. These new thermal predictions show the compact fuel temperature dependence on the variable gas gap method. Comparison between measured and calculated temperatures is discussed.