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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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Latest News
IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Mitchel E. Cunningham, Courtney R. Hann, Anthony R. Olsen
Nuclear Technology | Volume 47 | Number 3 | March 1980 | Pages 457-467
Technical Paper | Fuel | doi.org/10.13182/NT80-A32400
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
With the increasing sophistication and use of computer codes in the nuclear industry, there is a growing awareness of the need to identify and quantify the uncertainties of these codes. Work is now being performed at Battelle-Pacific Northwest Laboratories to study the uncertainties in steady-state stored energy calculations by using linear propagation of uncertainties. This method predicts the uncertainty of variables by propagating input variances through models. Comparison of Monte Carlo analysis to linear propagation shows good agreement and verifies the adequacy of linear propagation. Linear power, radial gap width, fuel thermal conductivity, flux depression, and fuel heat capacity are all shown to be parameters of major importance when calculating both stored energy and its uncertainty. The uncertainty for stored energy at beginning-of-life is ∼17% (99% confidence level) and rises to a maximum of 37% during a simulated two-cycle power history.