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Fusion Science and Technology
Latest News
In transition: Commercializing fusion power
Commercial fusion power is closer than ever. There are now around 30 U.S. fusion companies, several of which claim to be on track to connect to the grid as early as the 2030s.
Tokamak and laser inertial confinement approaches benefit from decades of research at facilities such as the National Ignition Facility (NIF) at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory and ITER, with alternative concepts including stellarator, magnetic mirror, and Z-pinch confinement also making notable progress as private and government funding for fusion increases.
Dan G. Cacuci, Mihaela Ionescu-Bujor
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 165 | Number 1 | May 2010 | Pages 18-44
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE09-37B
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
This work presents a rigorous methodology for computing best-estimate predictive results using experimental information in conjunction with models of time-dependent and/or stationary systems. This methodology uses Bayes' theorem in conjunction with information theory to assimilate consistently all available experimental and computational uncertainty-afflicted information (including discretization-modeling errors) for obtaining best-estimate calibrated model parameters and responses, together with correspondingly reduced uncertainties. This new methodology also provides quantitative indicators for assessing the consistency among parameters and responses, for consequent acceptance or rejection of information within the overall assimilation procedure. The companion paper presents a paradigm application of this methodology for obtaining best-estimate parameters for a transient thermal-hydraulic benchmark system pertinent to reactor safety.