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Modernizing I&C for operations and maintenance, one phase at a time
The two reactors at Dominion Energy’s Surry plant are among the oldest in the U.S. nuclear fleet. Yet when the plant celebrated its 50th anniversary in 2023, staff could raise a toast to the future. Surry was one of the first plants to file a subsequent license renewal (SLR) application, and in May 2021, it became official: the plant was licensed to operate for a full 80 years, extending its reactors’ lifespans into 2052 and 2053.
Dan G. Cacuci, Mihaela Ionescu-Bujor
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 165 | Number 1 | May 2010 | Pages 18-44
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE09-37B
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
This work presents a rigorous methodology for computing best-estimate predictive results using experimental information in conjunction with models of time-dependent and/or stationary systems. This methodology uses Bayes' theorem in conjunction with information theory to assimilate consistently all available experimental and computational uncertainty-afflicted information (including discretization-modeling errors) for obtaining best-estimate calibrated model parameters and responses, together with correspondingly reduced uncertainties. This new methodology also provides quantitative indicators for assessing the consistency among parameters and responses, for consequent acceptance or rejection of information within the overall assimilation procedure. The companion paper presents a paradigm application of this methodology for obtaining best-estimate parameters for a transient thermal-hydraulic benchmark system pertinent to reactor safety.