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2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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Researchers use one-of-a-kind expertise and capabilities to test fuels of tomorrow
At the Idaho National Laboratory Hot Fuel Examination Facility, containment box operator Jake Maupin moves a manipulator arm into position around a pencil-thin nuclear fuel rod. He is preparing for a procedure that he and his colleagues have practiced repeatedly in anticipation of this moment in the hot cell.
Dan G. Cacuci, Mihaela Ionescu-Bujor
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 165 | Number 1 | May 2010 | Pages 18-44
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE09-37B
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
This work presents a rigorous methodology for computing best-estimate predictive results using experimental information in conjunction with models of time-dependent and/or stationary systems. This methodology uses Bayes' theorem in conjunction with information theory to assimilate consistently all available experimental and computational uncertainty-afflicted information (including discretization-modeling errors) for obtaining best-estimate calibrated model parameters and responses, together with correspondingly reduced uncertainties. This new methodology also provides quantitative indicators for assessing the consistency among parameters and responses, for consequent acceptance or rejection of information within the overall assimilation procedure. The companion paper presents a paradigm application of this methodology for obtaining best-estimate parameters for a transient thermal-hydraulic benchmark system pertinent to reactor safety.