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2025 ANS Annual Conference
June 15–18, 2025
Chicago, IL|Chicago Marriott Downtown
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AI and productivity growth
Craig Piercycpiercy@ans.org
This month’s issue of Nuclear News focuses on supply and demand. The “supply” part of the story highlights nuclear’s continued success in providing electricity to the grid more than 90 percent of the time, while the “demand” part explores the seemingly insatiable appetite of hyperscale data centers for steady, carbon-free energy.
Technically, we are in the second year of our AI epiphany, the collective realization that Big Tech’s energy demands are so large that they cannot be met without a historic build-out of new generation capacity. Yet the enormity of it all still seems hard to grasp.
or the better part of two decades, U.S. electricity demand has been flat. Sure, we’ve seen annual fluctuations that correlate with weather patterns and the overall domestic economic performance, but the gigawatt-hours of electricity America consumed in 2021 are almost identical to our 2007 numbers.
Bailey Painter, Dan Kotlyar
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 198 | Number 12 | December 2024 | Pages 2460-2479
Research Article | doi.org/10.1080/00295639.2024.2303548
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
Coupled Monte Carlo (MC) and thermal-hydraulic analysis is valuable as a design or reference tool but can be slow, especially when implemented in a Picard iteration. Previous work has developed a novel prediction block to achieve convergence with fewer MC simulations. The prediction works in two stages: (1) a surrogate-like model predicts macroscopic cross sections on the fly and (2) a reduced-order neutronic model predicts the flux response to the updated cross sections. The main challenge with the prediction block is that the reduced-order neutronic model cannot reproduce the spatial flux distribution with high fidelity.
This paper investigates the well-established Jacobian-free Newton Krylov (JFNK) method to preserve equivalency between a homogeneous (nodal diffusion) solution and a high-fidelity transport (MC) solution. Instead of performing multiple computationally consuming MC simulations, the nonlinear iterative approach iterates on correction parameters, e.g., assembly discontinuity factors (ADFs) or super homogenization (SPH) factors, using unexpensive nodal solutions. The JFNK approach does not require additional overhead from the MC solver to generate flux tallies. Further, the approach iterates on diffusion solutions produced directly from a desired code, thus ensuring that the parameters are compatible with that code.
The approach is applied to correct a nodal diffusion solution for a realistic three-dimensional pressurized water reactor core. The results obtained in the paper show that the method is very successful in reproducing the heterogeneous solution (up to 2.5% difference in assembly flux for SPH and 0.3% for ADFs) without needing to modify the source code of the nodal diffusion solver. In addition, the results show that ADFs yield the best agreement and are also stable (i.e., weakly varying) when thermal-hydraulic fields are perturbed.