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2025 ANS Annual Conference
June 15–18, 2025
Chicago, IL|Chicago Marriott Downtown
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AI and productivity growth
Craig Piercycpiercy@ans.org
This month’s issue of Nuclear News focuses on supply and demand. The “supply” part of the story highlights nuclear’s continued success in providing electricity to the grid more than 90 percent of the time, while the “demand” part explores the seemingly insatiable appetite of hyperscale data centers for steady, carbon-free energy.
Technically, we are in the second year of our AI epiphany, the collective realization that Big Tech’s energy demands are so large that they cannot be met without a historic build-out of new generation capacity. Yet the enormity of it all still seems hard to grasp.
or the better part of two decades, U.S. electricity demand has been flat. Sure, we’ve seen annual fluctuations that correlate with weather patterns and the overall domestic economic performance, but the gigawatt-hours of electricity America consumed in 2021 are almost identical to our 2007 numbers.
Thomas Folk, Siddhartha Srivastava, Dean Price, Krishna Garikipati, Brendan Kochunas
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 198 | Number 11 | November 2024 | Pages 2080-2095
Research Article | doi.org/10.1080/00295639.2023.2288308
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
Accurate assessment of uncertainties in cross-section data is crucial for reliable nuclear reactor simulations and safety analyses. In this study, we focus on the interpolation procedure of the partial derivatives (PD) cross-section model used to evaluate nodal parameters from pregenerated multigroup libraries. Our primary objective is to develop a systematic methodology that enables prediction of the incurred errors in the cross-section model, leading to the development of optimal case matrices, more efficient cross-section models, and informed case matrix construction for reactor types lacking substantial data and experience. We make progress toward this objective through a rigorous analytic error analysis enabled by the derivation of error expressions and bounds for the PD model based on the discovery that the method is a form of Lagrange interpolation. Our investigations reveal distinct outcomes depending on the chosen cross-section functionalizations, achieved by identifying the sources of error. These error sources are found to include interpolation error, which is always present, and model form error, which is a property of the supplied case matrix. We show that simply increasing grid refinement through the addition of branches may not always lead to decreased cross-section errors, particularly in cases where the model form error predominantly contributes to the total error. We present numerical results and verification in a companion paper, showing these different error characteristics for various cross-section functionalizations. Although applied to current light water reactor environments, our methodology offers a means for advanced reactor analysts to develop case matrices with quantified error levels, advancing the goal of a general methodology for robust two-step reactor analysis. Future work includes exploring different lattice types and functionalizations, extending reactivity bounds to multilattice problems, and investigating historical effects within the macroscopic depletion model.