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The spark of the Super: Teller–Ulam and the birth of the H-bomb—rivalry, credit, and legacy at 75 years
In early 1951, Los Alamos scientists Edward Teller and Stanislaw Ulam devised a breakthrough that would lead to the hydrogen bomb [1]. Their design gave the United States an initial advantage in the Cold War, though comparable progress was soon achieved independently in the Soviet Union and the United Kingdom.
Thomas Folk, Siddhartha Srivastava, Dean Price, Krishna Garikipati, Brendan Kochunas
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 198 | Number 11 | November 2024 | Pages 2080-2095
Research Article | doi.org/10.1080/00295639.2023.2288308
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
Accurate assessment of uncertainties in cross-section data is crucial for reliable nuclear reactor simulations and safety analyses. In this study, we focus on the interpolation procedure of the partial derivatives (PD) cross-section model used to evaluate nodal parameters from pregenerated multigroup libraries. Our primary objective is to develop a systematic methodology that enables prediction of the incurred errors in the cross-section model, leading to the development of optimal case matrices, more efficient cross-section models, and informed case matrix construction for reactor types lacking substantial data and experience. We make progress toward this objective through a rigorous analytic error analysis enabled by the derivation of error expressions and bounds for the PD model based on the discovery that the method is a form of Lagrange interpolation. Our investigations reveal distinct outcomes depending on the chosen cross-section functionalizations, achieved by identifying the sources of error. These error sources are found to include interpolation error, which is always present, and model form error, which is a property of the supplied case matrix. We show that simply increasing grid refinement through the addition of branches may not always lead to decreased cross-section errors, particularly in cases where the model form error predominantly contributes to the total error. We present numerical results and verification in a companion paper, showing these different error characteristics for various cross-section functionalizations. Although applied to current light water reactor environments, our methodology offers a means for advanced reactor analysts to develop case matrices with quantified error levels, advancing the goal of a general methodology for robust two-step reactor analysis. Future work includes exploring different lattice types and functionalizations, extending reactivity bounds to multilattice problems, and investigating historical effects within the macroscopic depletion model.