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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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Latest News
IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Toshihiro Yamamoto, Hiroki Sakamoto
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 198 | Number 8 | August 2024 | Pages 1607-1619
Research Article | doi.org/10.1080/00295639.2023.2266623
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
The inverse reactor period α is a fundamental mode eigenvalue of the α-mode nonlinear Boltzmann eigenvalue equation that considers delayed neutron contributions. Thus far, several Monte Carlo methods, including the α-k, weight balancing, and transition rate matrix methods, have been developed to calculate α. This study presents a new Monte Carlo method for predicting α by using the derivatives of the k-eigenvalue with respect to α. Formulae are derived to calculate the first and second derivatives using the differential operator sampling method. The key feature of the new proposed method is its ability to estimate the uncertainty of the predicted α by considering the uncertainty of the k-eigenvalue and its derivatives with respect to α.