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Fusion Science and Technology
Latest News
In transition: Commercializing fusion power
Commercial fusion power is closer than ever. There are now around 30 U.S. fusion companies, several of which claim to be on track to connect to the grid as early as the 2030s.
Tokamak and laser inertial confinement approaches benefit from decades of research at facilities such as the National Ignition Facility (NIF) at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory and ITER, with alternative concepts including stellarator, magnetic mirror, and Z-pinch confinement also making notable progress as private and government funding for fusion increases.
Dan Gabriel Cacuci
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 186 | Number 3 | June 2017 | Pages 199-223
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.1080/00295639.2017.1305244
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
Using the problem of inverse prediction from detector responses in the presence of counting uncertainties of the thickness of a homogeneous slab of material containing uniformly distributed gamma-emitting sources, this work investigates the possible reasons for the apparent failure of the traditional inverse-problem methods based on the minimization of chi-square-type functionals to predict accurate results for optically thick slabs. This work also compares the results produced by such methods with the results produced by applying the Predictive Modeling of Coupled Multi-Physics Systems (PM-CMPS) methodology for optically thin and thick slabs. For optically thin slabs, this work shows that both the traditional chi-square-minimization method and the PM-CMPS methodology predict the slab’s thickness accurately. However, the PM-CMPS methodology is considerably more efficient computationally, and a single application of the PM-CMPS methodology predicts the thin slab’s thickness at least as precisely as the traditional chi-square-minimization method, even though the measurements used in the PM-CMPS methodology were ten times less accurate than the ones used for the traditional chi-square-minimization method. For optically thick slabs, the results obtained in this work show that: (1) the traditional inverse-problem methods based on the minimization of chi-square-type functionals fail to predict the slab’s thickness; (2) the PM-CMPS methodology underpredicts the slab’s actual physical thickness when imprecise experimental results are assimilated, even though the predicted responses agree within the imposed error criterion with the experimental results; (3) the PM-CMPS methodology correctly predicts the slab’s actual physical thickness when precise experimental results are assimilated, while also predicting the physically correct response within the selected precision criterion; and (4) the PM-CMPS methodology is computational vastly more efficient while yielding significantly more accurate results than the traditional chi-square-minimization methodology.