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Can hydrogen be the transportation fuel in an otherwise nuclear economy?
Let’s face it: The global economy should be powered primarily by nuclear power. And it probably will by the end of this century, with a still-significant assist from renewables and hydro. Once nuclear systems are dominant, the costs come down to where gas is now; and when carbon emissions are reduced to a small portion of their present state, it will become obvious that most other sources are only good in niche settings. I mean, why use small modular reactors to load-follow when they can just produce that power instead of buffering it?
Dan G. Cacuci
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 184 | Number 1 | September 2016 | Pages 16-30
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE16-16
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
The use of adjoint methods for computing first-order sensitivities (i.e., functional derivatives) of results (responses) produced by a computational model to the model’s parameters was initiated in the nuclear engineering sciences in the 1940s. The field of nuclear science and engineering also provided pioneering works, during the 1970s, for computing second-order response sensitivities of responses associated with the adjoint neutron and radiation transport and/or diffusion equations. These works generally indicated that the second-order sensitivities of responses such as reaction rates and the system’s effective multiplication factor to cross sections were computationally intensive to obtain, requiring O(Nα2) large-scale computations per response, for a system comprising Nα model parameters, and were considerably smaller than the corresponding first-order sensitivities. These results likely gave rise to the generally held opinion that second-order sensitivities are generally insignificant in reactor physics, which may, in turn, have led to diminishing interest in developing efficient methods for computing second-order sensitivities for nuclear engineering systems.
This work presents the second-order adjoint sensitivity analysis methodology (2nd-ASAM) for nonlinear systems, which yields exactly and efficiently the second-order functional derivatives of physical system responses (i.e., system performance parameters) to the system’s model parameters. For a physical system comprising Nα parameters, forward methods require a total of (Nα2/2+3Nα/2) large-scale computations for obtaining all of the first- and second-order sensitivities, for all system responses. In contradistinction, the 2nd-ASAM requires one large-scale computation using the first-level adjoint sensitivity system (1st-LASS) for obtaining all of the first-order sensitivities, followed by at most Nα large-scale computations using the second-level adjoint sensitivity systems, for obtaining exactly all of the second-order sensitivities of a functional-type response. The construction, implementation, and solution of the 2nd-ASAM require very little additional effort beyond the construction of the 1st-LASS needed for computing the first-order sensitivities. Furthermore, because of the symmetry properties of the second-order sensitivities, the 2nd-ASAM comprises the inherent automatic solution verification of the correctness and accuracy of the second-level adjoint functions used for the efficient and exact computation of the second-order sensitivities. The use of the 2nd-ASAM to compute exactly all of the second-order response sensitivities to model input parameters is expected to enable significant advances in related scientific disciplines, particularly the areas of uncertainty quantification and predictive modeling, including model validation, reduced-order modeling, data assimilation, model calibration, and extrapolation.