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Front-end nuclear fuel supply cooperation: Turning allied interdependence into strategic advantage
The global nuclear revival, which is fueled by unprecedented demand for firm, affordable, dispatchable power for artificial intelligence and data center build-out, energy security imperatives, and climate commitments, has exposed a structural reality of the Western fuel cycle: No single allied nation currently possesses the full suite of front-end capabilities. From mining through conversion, enrichment, fabrication, and the emerging deconversion and metallization steps required for reactor fuels, capability is distributed across Canada, France, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States (collectively, the “Sapporo Five”), as well as a small group of close partners.
Matthew J. Marcath, Shaun D. Clarke, Brian M. Wieger, Enrico Padovani, Edward W. Larsen, Sara A. Pozzi
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 181 | Number 1 | September 2015 | Pages 72-81
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE14-89
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
Monte Carlo particle transport codes used to model detector responses are traditionally run in analog mode. However, analog simulations of cross-correlation measurements are extremely time-consuming because the probability of coincident detection is small, approximately equal to the product of the probabilities of a single detection in each detector. The new implicit correlation method described here increases the number of correlated event scores, thereby reducing variance and required computation times. The cost of the implicit correlation method is comparable to the cost of simulating single-event detection for the lowest absolute detector efficiency in the problem. The new method is especially useful in the nuclear nonproliferation and safeguards fields for simulating correlation measurements of shielded special nuclear material.
The new method was implemented in MCNPX-PoliMi for neutron-neutron cross-correlations with a 252Cf spontaneous fission source measured by 14 detectors at various angles. The method demonstrated good agreement with analog simulation and reference measurement results. Small differences between nonanalog and analog cross-correlation distributions are attributed to discretization errors that are often not present in practical applications. Improvement in the figure of merit was greater than a factor of 100 in all tested cases.