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2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Evgeny Ivanov, Tatiana Ivanova, Sophie Pignet
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 178 | Number 3 | November 2014 | Pages 363-376
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE14-25
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
The effective delayed neutron fraction βeff is of primary importance for reactivity control of fissile systems and therefore for reactor design and safety analyses. Validation of βeff calculations is complicated by the limited availability of benchmark-quality data. This paper focuses on evaluation and analysis of βeff measurements with 252Cf-source pseudo-worth and noise methods performed at SNEAK 7A and SNEAK 7B assemblies in Germany in the 1970s. The experiments are thoroughly documented in the International Handbook of Evaluated Reactor Physics Benchmark Experiments and briefly presented in this paper. The measurements performed with the two different methods on SNEAK 7A and SNEAK 7B and other facilities systematically produce different values. Given that the noise approach presumes evolution of neutron field fluctuations in a one-point kinetic model, it was assumed that the discrepancies originate from spatial effects. A two-point kinetic model was tested to check this assumption. The paper demonstrates that the βeff measured with the noise method on the SNEAK 7A and SNEAK 7B facilities should be corrected while the 252Cf-source pseudo-worth measurement produces an accurate value.