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Front-end nuclear fuel supply cooperation: Turning allied interdependence into strategic advantage
The global nuclear revival, which is fueled by unprecedented demand for firm, affordable, dispatchable power for artificial intelligence and data center build-out, energy security imperatives, and climate commitments, has exposed a structural reality of the Western fuel cycle: No single allied nation currently possesses the full suite of front-end capabilities. From mining through conversion, enrichment, fabrication, and the emerging deconversion and metallization steps required for reactor fuels, capability is distributed across Canada, France, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States (collectively, the “Sapporo Five”), as well as a small group of close partners.
Zhengzheng Hu, Ralph C. Smith, Jeffrey Willert, C. T. Kelley
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 177 | Number 3 | July 2014 | Pages 350-360
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE13-52
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
The Boltzmann transport equation is used to model the neutron flux in a nuclear reactor. The solution of the transport equation is the neutron flux, which depends on a large number of material cross sections that can be on the order of thousands. These cross sections describe various types of possible interactions between neutrons, such as fission, capture, and scattering. The cross sections are measured experimentally and therefore have associated uncertainties. It is thus necessary to quantify how the uncertainty of the cross-section values is propagated through the model for the neutron flux. High-dimensional model representations (HDMRs) can be employed to systematically quantify input-output relations. It can, however, be computationally prohibitive to construct a surrogate model using the HDMR framework for a model that has thousands of parameters. In this paper, we introduce an algorithm that utilizes the New Morris Method to first reduce the parameter space to include only the significant individual and pairwise effects and then construct a surrogate model using a Cut-HDMR expansion within the reduced space. A unified index is introduced to facilitate the comparison of the significance of the model parameters. The accuracy and efficiency of the surrogate model is demonstrated using a one-dimensional neutron transport equation.