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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Edward W. Larsen, Jinan Yang
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 159 | Number 2 | June 2008 | Pages 107-126
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE07-92
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
In Monte Carlo simulations of k-eigenvalue problems for optically thick fissile systems with a high dominance ratio, the eigenfunction is often poorly estimated because of the undersampling of the fission source. Although undersampling can be addressed by sufficiently increasing the number of particles per cycle, this can be impractical in difficult problems. Here, we present a new functional Monte Carlo (FMC) method that minimizes this difficulty for many problems and yields a more accurate estimate of the k-eigenvalue. In the FMC method, standard Monte Carlo techniques do not directly estimate the eigenfunction; instead, they directly estimate certain nonlinear functionals that depend only weakly on the eigenfunction. The functionals are then used to more accurately estimate the k-eigenfunction and the eigenvalue. Like standard Monte Carlo methods, the FMC method has only statistical errors that limit to zero as the number of particles per cycle and the number of cycles become large. We provide numerical results that illustrate the advantages and limitations of the new method.