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Going Nuclear: Notes from the officially unofficial book tour
I work in the analytical labs at one of Europe’s oldest and largest nuclear sites: Sellafield, in northwestern England. I spend my days at the fume hood front, pipette in one hand and radiation probe in the other (and dosimeter pinned to my chest, of course). Outside the lab, I have a second job: I moonlight as a writer and public speaker. My new popular science book—Going Nuclear: How the Atom Will Save the World—came out last summer, and it feels like my life has been running at full power ever since.
Neil D. Cox
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 64 | Number 1 | September 1977 | Pages 258-265
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE77-A27096
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
A demonstration of two methods of uncertainty analysis was carried out to assess their utility for future use in treating computer models of nuclear power systems. The two methods of uncertainty analysis, called the response surface method and the crude Monte Carlo method, produced comparable results for the probability density function of the peak cladding temperature as computed by a simplified nuclear code that was subjected to seven uncertainty parameters. From these density functions, the upper cumulative tail probabilities were obtained and were shown to be measures of parameter margin. The response surface method provides sensitivity coefficients and also an inexpensive frame-work for evaluating the effects of the various assumptions inherent in the method. The crude Monte Carlo method provides no sensitivity coefficients and requires a complete rerun if a single uncertainty input density should be changed. The response surface method is recommended for use, where economically feasible, since the advantages of the method far outweigh the disadvantages.