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Front-end nuclear fuel supply cooperation: Turning allied interdependence into strategic advantage
The global nuclear revival, which is fueled by unprecedented demand for firm, affordable, dispatchable power for artificial intelligence and data center build-out, energy security imperatives, and climate commitments, has exposed a structural reality of the Western fuel cycle: No single allied nation currently possesses the full suite of front-end capabilities. From mining through conversion, enrichment, fabrication, and the emerging deconversion and metallization steps required for reactor fuels, capability is distributed across Canada, France, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States (collectively, the “Sapporo Five”), as well as a small group of close partners.
Rong Kong, Jerome Spanier
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 168 | Number 3 | July 2011 | Pages 197-225
Technical Paper | Geometric Convergence of Adaptive Monte Carlo Algorithms for Radiative Transport Problems Based on Importance Sampling Methods | doi.org/10.13182/NSE10-29
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
Importance sampling is a very well-known variance-reducing technique used in Monte Carlo simulations of radiative transport. It involves a distortion of the physical (analog) transition probabilities with the goal of causing events of interest in the computation to occur more frequently than in the analog process. This distortion is then compensated by a corresponding alteration of the estimating random variable in order to remove any bias from the estimates of quantities of interest. In this paper, we construct several families of estimators based on importance sampling methods to solve general transport problems and prove that the adaptive application of each estimator produces geometric convergence of the approximate solution. We also present numerical results that illustrate important elements of the theory.