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On moving fast and breaking things
Craig Piercycpiercy@ans.org
So much of what is happening in federal nuclear policy these days seems driven by a common approach popularized in the technology sector. Silicon Valley calls it “move fast and break things,” a phrase originally associated with Facebook’s early culture under Mark Zuckerberg. The idea emerged in the early 2000s as software companies discovered that rapid iteration, frequent experimentation, and a willingness to tolerate failure could dramatically accelerate innovation. This philosophy helped drive the growth of the social media, smartphones, cloud computing, and digital platforms that now underpin modern economic and social life.
Today, that mindset is also influencing federal nuclear policy. The Trump administration views accelerated nuclear deployment as part of a broader competition with China for technological and AI leadership. In that context, it seems willing to accept greater operational risk in pursuit of strategic advantage and long-term economic and security objectives.
Bruce Lairson, Ryan Smith, Jeff Guckian, Travis Ayers, Suhas Bhandarkar
Fusion Science and Technology | Volume 59 | Number 1 | January 2011 | Pages 262-266
Technical Paper | Nineteenth Target Fabrication Meeting | doi.org/10.13182/FST10-3686
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
Laser entrance hole (LEH) windows for hohlraums must have minimal thickness yet must contain low-temperature tamping gas in a reproducible envelope at 52 kPa. Given the high cost of a window failure, it is important to understand variability in the finished windows. Polyimide LEH window pressure deflection profiles were measured at 18 K. The shape and magnitude of pressure deflections of LEH windows were well described using thin film elastic mechanics. Subsequently, 24 windows with 3.9-mm apertures were selected from several production lots to measure reproducibility. The windows were cooled to 18 K, and their leak rates, deflections to 52 kPa, and burst pressures were measured. The mean window deflection at 18 K was 260 m, with a standard deviation of 20 m. Variability in window deflections was well described by an anisotropic initial strain model. Window burst pressure was found to obey first-order Weibull statistics. The predicted failure rate for the use conditions was extrapolated to be <0.1%.