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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Y. Harima, Y. Sakamoto, S. Tanaka, M. Kawai
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 94 | Number 1 | September 1986 | Pages 24-35
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE86-A17113
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
A geometric-progression (G-P) method formula, Br = 1 + (B − 1) · (Kx − 1)/(K − 1), accurately represents the buildup factor data as a function of distance for the following reasons: 1. The value of parameter B corresponds to that of the buildup factor at 1 mfp, which is the integration of a basic spectrum for a specified material and for a specified source energy. 2. The variation of parameter K with penetration represents the photon dose multiplication and the change in the shape of the spectrum. Exposure buildup factors for point isotropic sources in an infinite medium approximated by the G-P fitting parameters are in good agreement with the basic data calculated by the PALLAS code, including that of boron for low energies, and of lead, including the effects of bremsstrahlung and fluorescence. The validity of using the G-P parameters to interpolate the buildup factor in μr and in E is ascertained. Furthermore, the extrapolation to the buildup data for depths above 40 mfp is examined.