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The human factor in licensing and operating the next generation of nuclear plants
As human factors specialists working at the intersection of human performance and nuclear operations, we are witnessing one of the nuclear sector’s most significant transitions in decades. The emergence of small modular reactors, microreactors, and other advanced designs is reshaping the industry’s landscape. Digital instrumentation and controls, passive safety systems, and increased automation are creating opportunities for greater safety margins and more flexible operation. These same features also fundamentally redefine what it means to “operate” a nuclear plant. Interactions among human roles, automation, and passive systems shape how people maintain awareness, exercise judgment, and intervene when necessary. These developments affect both operational realities and the regulatory foundations on which nuclear safety is built.
Todd J. Urbatsch, R. Arthur Forster, Richard E. Prael, Richard J. Beckman
Nuclear Technology | Volume 111 | Number 2 | August 1995 | Pages 169-182
Technical Paper | Nuclear Criticality Safety Special / Fission Reactor | doi.org/10.13182/NT95-A35128
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
The Monte Carlo code MCNP has three different, but correlated, estimators for calculating keff in nuclear criticality calculations: collision, absorption, and track length estimators. The combination of these three estimators, the three-combined keff estimator, is shown to be the best keff estimator available in MCNP for estimating keff confidence intervals. Theoretically, the Gauss-Markov theorem provides a solid foundation for MCNP’s three-combined estimator. Analytically, a statistical study, where the estimates are drawn using a known covariance matrix, shows that the three-combined estimator is superior to the estimator with the smallest variance. Empirically, MCNP examples for several physical systems demonstrate the three-combined estimator’s superiority over each of the three individual estimators and its correct coverage rates. Additionally, the importance of MCNP’s statistical checks is demonstrated.