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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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Latest News
IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Sören Johst, Michael Hage, Jörg Peschke
Nuclear Technology | Volume 207 | Number 3 | March 2021 | Pages 352-362
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.1080/00295450.2020.1766347
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
This paper presents the approach of extending a classical generic event tree (ET) of a Level 2 Probabilistic Safety Analysis to the results of a probabilistic dynamic safety analysis. The example of creep-induced steam generator tube rupture has been chosen. The results of an Analysis of Thermal Hydraulics of Leaks and Transients with Core Degradation (ATHLET-CD)/Monte Carlo Dynamic Event Tree (MCDET) simulation analyzing the failure of reactor coolant system components by creeping in a scenario of a high-pressure core melt accident in a generic pressurized water reactor (PWR) have been implemented in the ET. From the results of these simulations, a set of parameters has been extracted and integrated into the ET along with their probability distributions. The effect of these parameters on both the progression of the severe accident sequence under consideration and the release categories of a generic German PWR plant, respectively, is discussed in this paper.