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Diversification and the common ground
Craig Piercycpiercy@ans.org
Who would have thought, just a few years ago, that we would see so many long-standing barriers to new nuclear development falling like dominoes? Public opinion, policy, regulatory reform, finance and investment, design maturity, nuclear fuel enrichment, and fuel fabrication capacity have all advanced with remarkable speed in the United States.
Conventional wisdom holds that the most effective way to scale up the nuclear supply chain is to do so strategically, matching investments to the needs of reactor developers.
W. Bennett, R. G. McClarren
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 199 | Number 1 | April 2025 | Pages S808-S817
Research Article | doi.org/10.1080/00295639.2024.2333092
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
Verification solutions for uncertainty quantification (UQ) are presented for time-dependent transport problems where , the scattering ratio, is uncertain. The method of polynomial chaos expansions is employed for quick and accurate calculation of the quantities of interest (QoIs), and uncollided solutions are used to treat part of the uncertainty calculation analytically. We find that approximately six moments in the polynomial expansion are required to represent the solutions to these problems accurately. Additionally, the results show that if the uncertainty interval spans c = 1, which means it is uncertain whether the system is multiplying or not, the confidence interval will grow in time. Finally, since the QoI is a strictly increasing function, the percentile values are known and can be used to verify the accuracy of the expansion. These results can be used to test UQ methods for time-dependent transport problems.