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OSTP memo guides space nuclear plan
A White House Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) memorandum released on Tuesday guides NASA, the Department of Energy, and the Department of Defense on their roles in deploying near-term space nuclear power.
This follows a series of NASA announcements last month—driven by the executive order “Ensuring American Space Superiority,” issued by Trump in December—including an ambitious timeline for establishing a moon base, which would rely on fission surface power (FSP) to survive the long lunar night at the moon’s south pole, and plans for a nuclear electric propulsion (NEP) rocket to be launched in 2028.
Ronald Daryll E. Gatchalian, Pavel V. Tsvetkov
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 199 | Number 1 | April 2025 | Pages S551-S574
Research Article | doi.org/10.1080/00295639.2024.2328957
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
Reactivity measurement methods, like the Amplified Source Method (ASM), link observable quantities to integral physics parameters characterizing subcritical assemblies (SCAs). These methods were mostly derived from point reactor kinetics, which assumes fundamental mode distribution. However, in SCAs, external sources cannot be neglected, leading to a nonideal response, such as the detector position dependence of measured .
This work investigates deterministic and probabilistic deep learning (DL) in determining and kinetics/subcritical parameters using core map and foil/active detector responses as inputs, which distinguishes DL from neutronics codes. Convolutional neural networks surpassed dense neural networks with higher accuracy, while assigning a strong signature to appropriate core map features. Expansion into multi-input networks, which also process reaction rates, highlighted DL’s flexibility by accurate prediction regardless of reaction type.
Uncertainty quantification of DL was done using Monte Carlo (MC) Dropout and Bayesian neural network (BNN). The results favored BNN over MC Dropout, showing greater improvement with increasing data. An assessment of ASM, applicable in a SCA at source equilibrium, showed a reactivity bias of up to −3.59%Δk/k (−4.86 $). In contrast, DL had a maximum bias of only 0.38%Δk/k (0.5 $). Underestimation by ASM represents a nonconservative scenario in criticality safety, while DL proved robust against spatial effects. This demonstrates DL’s potential in ensuring reactivity margins and a safe approach to criticality in reactor operation regimes where standard techniques can fail.