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Conference Spotlight
Nuclear Energy Conference & Expo (NECX)
September 8–11, 2025
Atlanta, GA|Atlanta Marriott Marquis
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Deep geologic repository progress—2025 Update
Editor's note: This article has was originally published in November 2023. It has been updated with new information as of June 2025.
Outside my office, there is a display case filled with rock samples from all over the world. It contains a disk of translucent, orange salt from the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant near Carlsbad, N.M.; a core of white-and-bronze gneiss from the site of the future deep geologic repository in Eurajoki, Finland; several angular chunks of fine-grained, gray claystone from the underground research laboratory at Bure, France; and a piece of coarse-grained granite from the underground research tunnel in Daejeon, South Korea.
Elvan Sahin, Victor C. Leite, Kyung M. Kim, Nick Burns, Juliana Pacheco Duarte
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 197 | Number 11 | November 2023 | Pages 2800-2817
PSA 2021 Paper | doi.org/10.1080/00295639.2022.2151300
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
The Fukushima Daiichi accident prompted the nuclear community to find a new solution to reduce the risk in nuclear power plants (NPPs) due to beyond-design-basis external events (BDBEEs). An implementation guide for diverse and flexible coping strategies (FLEX) has been presented by the Nuclear Energy Institute to manage the challenges of BDBEEs and enhance reactor safety. Due to the uniqueness of the FLEX systems, these systems can potentially carry dependencies among components not commonly modeled in NPPs. In this study, we investigate the effectiveness and applicability of both Bayesian networks (BNs) and discrete-time Bayesian networks in the reliability analysis of FLEX equipment. The study compares BNs with two other reliability assessment methods: fault tree and Markov chain. These methods are also shown to be capable of mapping into BNs to perform a reliability analysis of FLEX systems. A neutral dependency algorithm is used to simplify the conditional probability tables and reduce the complexity of the BNs. The results indicate that BNs are not only a powerful method for modeling FLEX strategies but are also effective techniques for inclusion of the dynamics of FLEX equipment in probabilistic risk analysis.