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Dallas, TX|Hilton Anatole
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Breaking ground on a new approach to construction
The drive to Kairos Power’s reactor demonstration site in Oak Ridge, Tenn., is not only scenic—it’s historic. Nearly 85 years ago, roughly 30,000 construction workers transformed orchards and farmland into a key Manhattan Project site. Depending on your route, you may pass by one of the three gatehouses that were once military checkpoints controlling access to Atomic Energy Commission production facilities.
Neil D. Cox
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 64 | Number 1 | September 1977 | Pages 258-265
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE77-A27096
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
A demonstration of two methods of uncertainty analysis was carried out to assess their utility for future use in treating computer models of nuclear power systems. The two methods of uncertainty analysis, called the response surface method and the crude Monte Carlo method, produced comparable results for the probability density function of the peak cladding temperature as computed by a simplified nuclear code that was subjected to seven uncertainty parameters. From these density functions, the upper cumulative tail probabilities were obtained and were shown to be measures of parameter margin. The response surface method provides sensitivity coefficients and also an inexpensive frame-work for evaluating the effects of the various assumptions inherent in the method. The crude Monte Carlo method provides no sensitivity coefficients and requires a complete rerun if a single uncertainty input density should be changed. The response surface method is recommended for use, where economically feasible, since the advantages of the method far outweigh the disadvantages.