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Fusion Science and Technology
Latest News
In transition: Commercializing fusion power
Commercial fusion power is closer than ever. There are now around 30 U.S. fusion companies, several of which claim to be on track to connect to the grid as early as the 2030s.
Tokamak and laser inertial confinement approaches benefit from decades of research at facilities such as the National Ignition Facility (NIF) at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory and ITER, with alternative concepts including stellarator, magnetic mirror, and Z-pinch confinement also making notable progress as private and government funding for fusion increases.
F. H. Fröhner
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 126 | Number 1 | May 1997 | Pages 1-18
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE97-A24453
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
Long-standing problems of assigning uncertainties to scientific data became apparent in recent years when uncertainty information (“covariance files”) had to be added to applications-oriented large libraries of evaluated nuclear data such as ENDF and JEF. Questions arose about the best way to express uncertainties, the meaning of statistical and systematic errors, the origin of correlations and the construction of covariance matrices, the combination of uncertain data from different sources, the general usefulness of results that are strictly valid only for Gaussians or only for linear statistical models, and so forth. Conventional statistical theory is often unable to give unambiguous answers and tends to fail when statistics are poor, making prior information crucial. Modern probability theory, on the other hand, incorporating results from information, decision, and group theory, is shown to provide straight and unique answers to such questions and to deal easily with prior information and small samples.