ANS is committed to advancing, fostering, and promoting the development and application of nuclear sciences and technologies to benefit society.
Explore the many uses for nuclear science and its impact on energy, the environment, healthcare, food, and more.
Explore membership for yourself or for your organization.
Conference Spotlight
2026 Nuclear Energy Conference & Expo (NECX)
August 24–27, 2026
Dallas, TX|Hilton Anatole
Latest Magazine Issues
Jun 2026
Jan 2026
2026
Latest Journal Issues
Nuclear Science and Engineering
July 2026
Nuclear Technology
Fusion Science and Technology
May 2026
Latest News
Breaking ground on a new approach to construction
The drive to Kairos Power’s reactor demonstration site in Oak Ridge, Tenn., is not only scenic—it’s historic. Nearly 85 years ago, roughly 30,000 construction workers transformed orchards and farmland into a key Manhattan Project site. Depending on your route, you may pass by one of the three gatehouses that were once military checkpoints controlling access to Atomic Energy Commission production facilities.
G. C. Geisler, R. E. Zindler
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 48 | Number 3 | July 1972 | Pages 255-265
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE72-A22484
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
An improved method, called Simulation of System Operation for Reliability Analysis, for utilizing Monte Carlo techniques in the computer analysis of the reliability of complex systems is presented. This method is particularly applicable to systems which employ highly reliable elements with extremely low failure rates. Earlier techniques of Brunot simulate operation of a system through a sequential series of time steps and test for system failure in each time step. After a sufficient number of time steps, a system failure probability can be determined. When such methods are applied to systems composed of highly reliable components, computer time requirements can become excessive. This is due to the great number of time steps which must be examined to obtain statistically significant numbers of system failures. The method to be described begins by randomly selecting a “critical’ ’ time step of failure for each component. Failures are then examined to determine if a system failure combination has occurred in any time step. To continue the simulation, a second critical time step is chosen for each component and added to the first. The program proceeds in this fashion, considering only time steps in which at least one failure has occurred. Thus computer time requirements become essentially independent of failure rates.