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Front-end nuclear fuel supply cooperation: Turning allied interdependence into strategic advantage
The global nuclear revival, which is fueled by unprecedented demand for firm, affordable, dispatchable power for artificial intelligence and data center build-out, energy security imperatives, and climate commitments, has exposed a structural reality of the Western fuel cycle: No single allied nation currently possesses the full suite of front-end capabilities. From mining through conversion, enrichment, fabrication, and the emerging deconversion and metallization steps required for reactor fuels, capability is distributed across Canada, France, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States (collectively, the “Sapporo Five”), as well as a small group of close partners.
Rudolf Avenhaus
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 86 | Number 3 | March 1984 | Pages 275-282
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE84-A17556
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
The present state of the evaluation of material balance data in the framework of international nuclear material safeguards is reviewed. The safeguards objectives, laid down qualitatively in the model agreement of the International Atomic Energy Agency, are formulated quantitatively in statistical terms as high probability of detection and short expected detection time in case of diversion. According to these objectives, the analysis consists of two parts: In the first part, a fixed reference time containing a given number of inventory periods is considered. Here, the optimal decision procedure can be determined explicitly. In the second part, an infinite reference time consisting of inventory periods of given lengths is considered. Here, only a general framework for the optimal decision procedure can be given so far; therefore, plausible procedures are discussed.