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2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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Latest News
IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
F. Warmer, C. D. Beidler, A. Dinklage, Y. Turkin, R. Wolf
Fusion Science and Technology | Volume 68 | Number 4 | November 2015 | Pages 727-740
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/FST15-131
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
In fusion power plant studies, a high confinement improvement with respect to empirical scaling is often assumed in the design of compact machines. In this work, the limits of such a confinement enhancement are studied for a helical-axis advanced stellarator (HELIAS).
As a first exercise, the well-established power balance approach is used to investigate the impact of confinement enhancement (in terms of the ISS04 renormalization factor) on the required size of HELIAS power plants. It is found that both a lower (0.5) and an upper limit (1.5 to 1.7) exist for which, respectively, ignition is no longer possible or further confinement enhancement irrelevant due to physics limits.
In the second part of the work, a predictive neoclassical transport model is introduced and employed to determine a self-consistent confinement time based on transport modelling. It is found that the confinement enhancement with respect to the ISS04 scaling decreases in comparison to Wendelstein 7-X as the device is scaled to reactor size, dropping from ~2.5 to a range of 1.2 to 1.3. This behavior is explained with underlying scaling relations and transport effects. The results from both models are consistent and important for future HELIAS systems studies.